Countability Record

The evidence behind every answer

The Record shows the evidence behind Countability's work: sources, definitions, calculations, dated data versions, corrections — all public and tracked over time.

Countability Record

The evidence behind every answer

Use it to see where a result came from, which evidence was reviewed, and what could change the answer.

93 registered sources61 published findings17 claims in the Record24 Resolution lineages of which 24 have their own pages

Domains

Explore the ten systems Countability currently tracks. Each domain page shows its measures, the evidence and dates behind them, and how that system connects to the rest of the Record.

Domain · IMM

Immigration & Population

Permanent and temporary flows, the long demographic record, and the pressure population change places on everything downstream.

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Domain · HSG

Housing

Starts, completions, targets, and the institutional disagreement over how much housing Canada needs.

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Domain · LAB

Labour

Vacancies, participation, youth and entry-level conditions, and whether the market is absorbing population change.

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Domain · FSC

Federal Fiscal Capacity

Deficit, debt, and the federal government's own stated fiscal anchors, measured on a consistent basis.

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Domain · PFC

Provincial Fiscal Capacity

Each province's stated fiscal anchors and the PBO's independent sustainability assessment, held side by side.

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Domain · CLM

Climate

Canada's legislated emissions targets, the projections held against them, and the two official series that measure the same country differently.

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Domain · DEF

Defence & Security

What defence spending supports: people, usable fleets, reported readiness and equipment delivery.

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Domain · HLT

Health

Access to care, unmet needs, life expectancy and substance-related harms across Canada.

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Domain · INF

Infrastructure Delivery

Funded projects, reported timelines, public investment and the age of the infrastructure base.

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Domain · BIZ

Business Dynamism & Credit

Employer openings and closures, returning businesses and entrants, corporate borrowing, lending conditions and insolvencies.

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Investigations

An Investigation follows one question through the evidence that answers it: the findings, the institutional projections on file, where institutions disagree, and what the record cannot yet measure. Each one is published in full.

Deep Dive · 7 min read

Whose benchmark? The disagreement over how much housing Canada needs

Two institutions size the housing shortfall differently, construction proceeds at a measured pace against both paths, and part of the record has simply stopped updating.

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Deep Dive · 9 min read

Are Canada's governments meeting their own fiscal anchors?

Federal and provincial governments have each published a fiscal rule they intend to meet, independent forecasters do not always agree with a government's own projection, and one federal commitment has no published measure at all.

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Deep Dive · 6 min read

Is Canada's labour market weakening?

Employment keeps pace with a growing working-age population and youth unemployment sits well above the prime-age rate, but most of what would settle the question is not measured by any official series.

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Deep Dive · 12 min read

The Tariff Ledger

The United States has raised tariffs on Canadian goods more than once, Canada has announced counter-tariffs of its own and new support for workers and businesses, and the government's own fiscal plan rests on a forecast taken before the latest round existed.

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Product Receipts

A Receipt is a dated evidence summary for one product. It shows the question, the current answer, the sources, the method, the limits, and the next update.

Receipt

Canada and NATO's defence-spending benchmark

NATO's own reported expenditure figures and ratios, across two report editions; Statistics Canada's fiscal-year-matched quarterly nominal GDP as the disclosed alternative denominator; DND's audited departmental actuals for the scope comparison; the government's own achievement announcement and NATO's own institutional corroboration; the Parliamentary Budget Officer's own costing of NATO's newer guideline. Bases are shown side by side, never merged.

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Receipt

Canadian Capacity Monitor

A curated composition over already-public canonical members: demand pressure, housing delivery, workforce capacity, and fiscal room, each row restating its own named evidence with its own reporting date.

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Receipt

US Exposure Monitor

A curated composition over eight already-fetched Statistics Canada trade tables -- headline United States export share, sectoral composition, trade-agreement (CUSMA) qualification, origin-versus-export routing, price and volume decomposition, daily truck crossings, services trade, and province-by-United-States-state export concentration -- each row restating its own named series with its own reporting date, plus one evidence gap this Monitor states directly.

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Receipt

The anatomy of Canadian living standards

An exact log-change accounting identity over Statistics Canada series already held in the record: real GDP, population, employment, labour force, LFS working-age population, and the labour-productivity index. The terms sum to the per-person change exactly, and that arithmetic is re-checked automatically every time the record is rebuilt.

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Receipt

Canada's electricity expansion: the projected pace and the delivered record

The Canada Energy Regulator's Canada's Energy Future 2026 dataset for the projection side -- scenario levels and the dataset's own recorded history, from one file, one regional total, one summation, so the required-pace arithmetic never crosses an accounting basis. Statistics Canada's electricity survey tables for the measured side -- installed capacity (annual) and generation (monthly) -- a second basis, shown beside the first and never merged with it; every change on this Brief is computed within one basis only.

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Receipt

Canada's exports and the United States: the record break, and where the difference went

Statistics Canada's monthly trade record on its two published bases: the Balance of Payments by-partner series (seasonally adjusted, 1997 to the latest month) for the share and its arc, and the customs-basis domestic-export record (by product section, by province, with the detailed unwrought-precious-metals series) for where the movement sits. The 2025 United States tariff actions enter only as dated primary-document facts -- rates and effective dates read from the Federal Register texts. Every pinned value re-derives from archived source bytes recorded with content hashes; every computed figure is a named-formula Scenario over those pins.

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Receipt

The capital behind each worker: the investment record, and the productivity record beside it

Statistics Canada's non-residential capital stock record (geometric end-year net stock, chained dollars, total all industries, annual) and business gross fixed capital formation by asset class (chained dollars and current prices, quarterly), each divided by Statistics Canada's own employment record (Labour Force Survey, seasonally adjusted, monthly, calendar-year averaged) to produce the per-worker levels this Brief reads. The official capital-intensity-contribution decomposition (multifactor productivity, annual) is cited as as-published context, not combined arithmetically with the per-worker levels. Every pinned value re-derives from archived source bytes recorded with content hashes; every computed figure is a named-formula Scenario over those pins.

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Receipt

Where the budget lands: the federal fiscal position, the promises against it, and what the audited record settles

Four Finance Canada projection vintages for fiscal 2025-26 (Budget 2024, the 2024 Fall Economic Statement, Budget 2025, the Spring Economic Update 2026), each read from that publication's own headline fiscal table and archived with a content hash; the Fiscal Monitor's own unaudited cumulative year-end observation of the same fiscal year, added additively to the same Resolution; Statistics Canada's separate National Accounts quarterly measurement (table 36-10-0477) and Canadian Government Finance Statistics balance-sheet stocks (table 10-10-0016), both already-grandfathered series; and the Fiscal Monitor's own Public-Accounts-basis balance sheet for the debt-concept table. Every displayed figure is a Resolution-pinned value, a Resolution comparison, or a named-formula Scenario computed from those same pinned or already-published inputs -- never a bare literal typed into prose.

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Receipt

The distance still to travel

The target-accounting basis Canada's 2030/2035 targets and 2026 interim objective are actually assessed against -- the National Inventory Report's four-sector total plus the LULUCF accounting contribution, on the CESI 2026 indicator vintage (NIR2025 historical basis) -- carries the delivered-share and pace verdicts. The gross National Inventory Report basis (NIR 2026 edition, excluding LULUCF) carries the newest reported inventory year on its own separate vintage. The two bases are never combined in one calculation; every scenario on this Brief draws its inputs from exactly one of them. Statistics Canada's physical flow account is named as a third, structurally different basis and is never an input to either.

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Receipt

Claims on the grid: what Ontario's connection record proves about its largest new loads — and why the register they sit in cannot be added up

The IESO's public connection register (its page's own backing feed, one archived vintage, counted by a committed census script under a stated population rule) and the issuer's own posted engineering documents: final connection assessments for the flagship loads, one assessment's superseding addendum, one bulk plan, one transmitter needs assessment, and one integrated regional plan. Every quantity is the issuer's own stated figure or a count of the register's own fields; the only capacity sums on the page are the issuer's, quoted with attribution. Statistics Canada's two monthly Ontario generation tables are treated as one measurement, their identity re-derived from archived responses. On each maintained pass every reference the register publishes is re-fetched and hashed against what is held, so a silently revised or newly reachable assessment is caught rather than assumed away; the newest assessment in the data-centre lineage was reached this way.

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Receipt

The price of everything: one headline rate, and the components underneath it

Statistics Canada's own published Consumer Price Index for Canada, monthly, not seasonally adjusted (table 18-10-0004-01), held here as twenty-two series on one window under a content hash: the all-items index, all eight major components, the shelter detail, the food split, and the goods, services, energy, gasoline, excluding-food-and-energy and excluding-mortgage-interest cuts. Beside them, the Bank of Canada core measures as Statistics Canada publishes them (table 18-10-0256-01), cited as published and never recomputed for display. The purchasing-power line pairs the all-items index with average hourly wages, unadjusted, current dollars (table 14-10-0063-01). Every rate on the product is derived from those held bytes on one frozen convention; nothing is copied from the issuer's own commentary.

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Receipt

The delivery scoreboard: what the federal government reports about its own targets

The Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat's own published performance file for Departmental Plans and Departmental Results Reports, held here as one preserved edition under a content hash: 19,010 rows, of which 13,723 are Departmental Results Report rows covering fiscal 2020-21 through 2024-25 and 5,287 are Departmental Plan rows covering fiscal 2025-26 and 2026-27. Every figure on the product is a count over those rows, or a share derived from two such counts. Only Results Report rows are scored; Plan rows are counted and never scored. Nothing is copied from the issuer's own commentary, and no departmental narrative report is read into this product.

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Claims in the Record

These are claims Countability has formally checked and added to the public Record. Each page shows the evidence, method, date added, where the claim is used, and what could change it.

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Trust and method

Sources & Method →Correction policy →The Resolution record →

A Resolution record keeps every version of an institution's own published projection, dated, and holds it against the outcome when one arrives — a record, never a ranking.