The topic filter applies to evidence readings below. Corrections and selected analyses cover the whole site.
How to read the clock → “Dated” is the original record date; the reading states its observation period. An evidence date is retained as recorded and does not by itself establish a publication or incorporation date. A layout change does not recheck the evidence.
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Selected analysis
Budget 2026: where the money for new commitments came from
The deficit for this fiscal year is close to the spring forecast. Under that figure, the forecast improved by $158 billion over five years and new commitments used $152 billion of it. This page traces the figures through the budget’s own tables.
Read from Budget 2026 as published on November 10, 2026. Figures are the budget’s own projections, not results.
Ottawa’s red-tape reset reaches far beyond paperwork
How Ottawa’s proposed changes could affect business restructuring, electricity storage, trade and development near airports.
Proposed changes, read from the first-reading bill. This is a dated analysis, not a current bill-status check.
British Columbia’s next growth test
Real output has more than doubled since the late nineties. Growth per resident is slower, the ports serve a national production base, and the pre-election fiscal plan leaves a large deficit.
The next post-election budget is not yet available to test the fiscal posture. Project announcements do not establish future production, royalties or net public benefits.
Is Canada delivering the infrastructure it funds? · Recent record: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. The window follows recorded checks, material corrections and selected analyses. Qualification and wording notices do not move it.
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Recent evidence readings
Showing 1 of 1 readings in this window, newest first. The remaining entries are in the full record below and the monthly archives.
Change type and importance are separate editorial decisions. An issuer revision can be material or minor; a checked-unchanged reading is still a finding. Minor changes include housekeeping only when the recorded effect warrants that description.
Evidence update · Material change
Budget 2026 lowers its forecast of direct program spending by an average of $12.4 billion a year, or $62.0 billion from 2026–27 to 2030–31. The budget says the change does not change approved funding.
More on this: Where the budget lands: the federal fiscal position, the promises against it, and what the audited record settles →
Why it stands: Annex 1, Table A1.7, and the box "Updating the direct program expense forecast". The audited fiscal 2025–26 accounts show direct program spending $17.4 billion below the Budget 2025 plan. That comparison is with Budget 2025, not the spring update.
If departments spend on the schedule the spring forecast assumed, the deficits would be higher than projected.
Trigger recorded for this reading: Direct program expenses in the monthly Fiscal Monitor.
Limit: The budget gives one aggregate figure and does not attribute it to departments or programs. The table line also includes pension-valuation effects that the budget says are broadly offset in other lines; it does not give their size.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Big Question it bears on · the Brief it reads from
Monthly evidence archives
Full dated record — 3 more readings
Historical readings retain their original dates, text, limits and then-future triggers. They are not refreshed assessments. A linked current resolution may supersede a historical uncertainty.
Changed
Analysis update · Material change
Public capital per resident increased in 12 of the 13 provinces and territories between the end of 2024 and the end of 2025. Newfoundland and Labrador was the exception.
More on this: Infrastructure delivery: from commitments to the capital base →
Why it stands: Constant-dollar public capital stocks are paired with the population on January 1 immediately after each year-end. The page also shows investment relative to depreciation and the stock-flow residual.
The Infrastructure Brief now shows where the capital base is expanding relative to the population it serves.
Trigger recorded for this reading: A new public-capital edition or revised matching population estimates.
Limit: Total public capital includes government business enterprises. Per-person levels and renewal ratios do not measure service quality, maintenance sufficiency or provincial-government performance.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Brief it reads from
Analysis update · Material change
Public infrastructure investment was 1.47 times depreciation in 2025. The real capital stock per resident rose 2.83%, from about $16,822 to $17,299.
More on this: Infrastructure delivery: from commitments to the capital base →
Why it stands: The annual capital source was rechecked without a change in its values. The new calculation pairs year-end public capital with population at the following January 1. The larger capital stock added about $592 per resident; population growth subtracted $115. Those terms close to the measured change.
The Infrastructure Brief can now separate replacement of depreciated capital from growth in capital per resident. This extends the analysis of the existing annual accounts; it does not turn the unchanged project file into evidence of new completions.
Trigger recorded for this reading: The next annual infrastructure accounts, population revision or changed project file.
Limit: The capital figures are constant-dollar accounting estimates for total public infrastructure. Depreciation is not a maintenance budget. Neither stock per resident nor the investment-to-depreciation ratio measures engineering condition, local adequacy or service quality.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Brief it reads from
Checked, unchanged
Checked, unchanged · Material reading
The infrastructure reading is unchanged after a fresh source check. HICC’s project file is identical in every byte to the July and September captures, with reported project ends still no later than March 2025. The 2025 capital and asset-life estimates are also unchanged.
More on this: Infrastructure delivery: from commitments to the capital base →
Why it stands: September 29 retrievals matched the retained project, dictionary, annual capital and asset-life source bytes. The annual Statistics Canada tables retain their June 12 publication date. A new checking date does not create a newer project observation.
The site can reaffirm what this record establishes, but cannot report fresh project delivery from an unchanged file. The distinction between funded entries, reported completion and improved public services remains unresolved.
Trigger recorded for this reading: A changed HICC project file with comparable identifiers, or the next annual infrastructure accounts and asset-life release.
Limit: The HICC file includes studies and plans as well as physical assets. Approved contributions are not cash spending, eligible costs are not final costs, and identical files do not show that construction stopped. Asset-age estimates do not establish engineering condition.
Reads onto the Big Question it bears on · the Canadian Capacity Monitor · the Brief it reads from
Site-wide corrections and wording amendments
Record-dated corrections: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. Material qualification notices: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11. Minor wording notices: 2026-10-13 to 2026-11-11.
These notices change published explanations, claims or wording. They do not report new observations. Each link preserves what was wrong, the replacement and its effect.
- Dollarama geography and quarter length Qualification dated 2026-11-04. The Canadian store-count observation is retained. Consolidated sales are not a measure of Canadian discount spending or evidence of household motivation.
- Labour headcount comparison and annual window Identified 2026-10-27. The summary and shared claim explanation change. The September employment and population observations, annual ratio of 0.52 and earlier dated readings are unchanged.
- EI successor rules and historical expiry notice Identified 2026-10-27. The rule history is brought forward; the original regulation and original notice are preserved. No employment observation changes.
- Monthly trade reference periods Identified 2026-10-27. The date comparison changes. Trade values, statistical bases, legal dates and the daily counts are unchanged.
- Alberta statistical balance and legal compliance Identified 2026-10-27. The legal-compliance inference and its associated pace verdict are withdrawn. This correction does not adjudicate the separately registered Ontario and Quebec statistical trend proxies, whose basis classifications remain under the combined fiscal review. The statistical balance of 1.29% of GDP in 2024 is unchanged. This makes no finding about Alberta's actual compliance.
- Ontario and Quebec statistical balances beside fiscal-year promises Identified 2026-10-27. The pace inference is withdrawn for Ontario and Quebec. Statistical values are unchanged. This makes no finding about actual provincial compliance.
- US Monitor overview reference periods Identified 2026-10-27. This completes the overview counterpart of the October 27 panel-date correction. Statistical values and legal dates are unchanged; no tariff-effect inference is made.
Material corrections and withdrawals in the evidence log
- Dated 2026-11-10: Two previously admitted selected findings are withdrawn from current use after recomputation: the Quebec balance streak and the earlier employment level-shift window. Their historical receipts remain available. Limit: Withdrawal does not erase the prior source edition or establish a causal explanation. A new selected window requires its own examination before admission.
Minor wording amendments (1) — no analytical conclusion changes
- Minor wording amendment — IRCC method limits Correction dated 2026-10-28. Wording only. No observation, calculation policy, precision or analytical conclusion changes.
Recorded release calendar — checked through 2026-11-11
This calendar retains the log’s original check date. Dates and then-future descriptions below are not a new check of an issuer’s schedule.
Official releases that could change the answer — next 14 days
| Date | Issuer | Release | What it could change | Products |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Statistics Canada | Building permits, September 2026 Confirmed date | The next unadjusted dwelling-unit count and prior revisions. Date stated in the issuer’s October 14 August permits release. | Canadian Capacity Monitor · Housing shortage (Big Question) |
| 2026-11-16 | Statistics Canada | Consumer Price Index, October 2026 Confirmed date | The matched-month price, rent, core and wage comparison. Date stated in the September issuer release captured October 19. | Housing shortage (Big Question) · The price of everything: one headline rate, and the components underneath it |
Just beyond 14 days
| Date | Issuer | Release | What it could change | Products |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-27 | Statistics Canada | National Accounts (GDP and gross fixed capital formation), Q3 2026 Provisional — typical cadence | Whether the turn in real GDP per person holds for a second quarter, whether output per worker keeps adding, and whether the per-person level finally passes its 2022 Q3 record; on the capital side, a third quarter of 2026 investment, still one quarter short of a calendar year. The issuer may also restate the two quarters this release just settled. Date provisional: it follows the issuer's observed quarterly cadence of publishing about two months after the quarter ends, and no source captured for these readings pins it. | Investment into productivity (Big Question) · Living standards (Big Question) · The capital behind each worker: the investment record, and the productivity record beside it · The anatomy of Canadian living standards |
| 2026-12-08 | Statistics Canada | Canadian international merchandise trade, October 2026 Confirmed date | The next matched trade month and historical revisions. Date stated in the captured November 4 issuer article. | US Exposure Monitor · Sell beyond the us (Big Question) · Canada's exports and the United States: the record break, and where the difference went |
| 2026-12-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | Greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions projections report and target-accounting-basis update (adds the 2024 accounting-basis observation) Provisional — typical cadence | The delivered-share and pace-ratio readings on the target-accounting basis, the With Measures/With Additional Measures 2030 projections and their gap to the target band, and the 2026 interim-objective scenario check -- the principal settlement event for this Brief's first re-reading. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2026-12-31 | Environment and Climate Change Canada / UNFCCC | Canada's second Biennial Transparency Report (statutory Paris Agreement deadline) Confirmed date | Corroborates or updates the LULUCF accounting-contribution methodology and the target-accounting statements this Brief cites; carried unresolved if it lands before this Brief can ingest it. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2027-04-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | National Inventory Report, next edition (adds the 2025 gross-inventory observed year) Provisional — typical cadence | The gross-inventory basis's delivered-share and pace-ratio readings, the seven-sector ledger, and the moving-baseline chapter's own comparison; a full re-ingest of the new vintage with the prior vintage preserved, revision separated from new-year movement. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
| 2027-12-15 | Environment and Climate Change Canada | Statutory progress report on the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan, next edition Provisional — typical cadence | The official-assessment quotations this Brief cites and the secondary sector indicators; never a verdict source by itself. | Climate account (Big Question) · The distance still to travel |
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