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Quebec budgetary balance: five-year deterioration (support evidence)
The claim
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual): 5 consecutive years of negative change
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual) has been negative for 5 consecutive years, beginning in 2020. The latest reading is -1.11% in 2024. A streak counts consecutive periods in one direction; it carries no causal claim and does not imply the run will continue.
Method
Count consecutive years with a negative change, most recent backward; reported only from 4 consecutive years onward.
Key sources and licences
- Revenue, expenditure and budgetary balance, general governments, provincial and territorial economic accounts, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
- Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, provincial and territorial, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
| Added to the Record | 2026-07-13 |
|---|---|
| How it is used | Withdrawn — historical record |
| Where it appears | Historical support evidence, withdrawn from current use on November 10 after the revised provincial accounts no longer reproduce the admitted streak. The earlier receipt remains available. |
| What would change it | Provincial Economic Accounts revisions to the balance path, or Quebec's fiscal position improving against its own anchor. |
| Corrections | None on record for this claim — policy → |
| Withdrawn | 2026-11-10 |
| Withdrawal reason | The November source successor no longer reproduces this exact admitted candidate. This historical receipt remains available; a different selected window does not inherit admission. |
| Record ID | R2-streak:provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
|---|---|
| Historical candidate ID | cand:R11-persist:provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec:2020-01-01 |
| Detection rule | R2-streak |
| Indicator | provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
This Receipt names the public sources and method needed to reproduce the figures it covers. Corrections are dated and explained, with the earlier published record retained.
Title: Quebec budgetary balance: five-year deterioration (support evidence)
Original use state: support-only
Original destination: Supporting evidence beneath the Quebec balanced-budget target interpretation; it strengthens that finding and is not shown on its own.
Original trigger: Provincial Economic Accounts revisions to the balance path, or Quebec's fiscal position improving against its own anchor.
Original correction note: