Quebec budgetary balance: five-year deterioration (support evidence)
The claim
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual): 5 consecutive years of negative change
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual) has been negative for 5 consecutive years, beginning in 2020. The latest reading is -1.11% in 2024. A streak counts consecutive periods in one direction; it carries no causal claim and does not imply the run will continue.
Method
Count consecutive years with a negative change, most recent backward; reported only from 4 consecutive years onward.
Key sources and licences
- Revenue, expenditure and budgetary balance, general governments, provincial and territorial economic accounts, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
- Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, provincial and territorial, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
| Added to the Record | 2026-07-13 |
|---|---|
| How it is used | Withdrawn — historical record |
| Where it appears | Historical support evidence, withdrawn from current use on November 10 after the revised provincial accounts no longer reproduce the admitted streak. The earlier receipt remains available. |
| What would change it | Provincial Economic Accounts revisions to the balance path, or Quebec's fiscal position improving against its own anchor. |
| Corrections | None on record for this claim — policy → |
| Withdrawn | 2026-11-10 |
| Withdrawal reason | The November source successor no longer reproduces this exact admitted candidate. This historical receipt remains available; a different selected window does not inherit admission. |
Technical details
| Record ID | R2-streak:provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
|---|---|
| Historical candidate ID | cand:R11-persist:provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec:2020-01-01 |
| Detection rule | R2-streak |
| Indicator | provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
This Receipt names the public sources and method needed to reproduce the figures it covers. Corrections are dated and explained, with the earlier published record retained.
Receipt wording before withdrawal
Title: Quebec budgetary balance: five-year deterioration (support evidence)
Original use state: support-only
Original destination: Supporting evidence beneath the Quebec balanced-budget target interpretation; it strengthens that finding and is not shown on its own.
Original trigger: Provincial Economic Accounts revisions to the balance path, or Quebec's fiscal position improving against its own anchor.
Original correction note: