Quebec budgetary balance: five-year deterioration (support evidence)
This claim has been checked and added to the Record, and is not yet featured in a product. It appears here so the full Record stays inspectable.
The claim
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual): 5 consecutive years of negative change
Quebec budgetary balance, % of nominal GDP (Provincial Economic Accounts basis, annual) has been negative for 5 consecutive years, beginning in 2020. The latest reading is -1.11% in 2024. A streak counts consecutive periods in one direction; it carries no causal claim and does not imply the run will continue.
Method
Count consecutive years with a negative change, most recent backward; reported only from 4 consecutive years onward.
Key sources and licences
- Revenue, expenditure and budgetary balance, general governments, provincial and territorial economic accounts, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
- Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, provincial and territorial, annual — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
| Added to the Record | 2026-07-13 |
|---|---|
| How it is used | Supporting evidence |
| Where it appears | Supporting evidence beneath the Quebec balanced-budget target interpretation; it strengthens that finding and is not shown on its own. |
| What would change it | Provincial Economic Accounts revisions to the balance path, or Quebec's fiscal position improving against its own anchor. |
| Corrections | None on record for this claim — policy → |
Technical details
| Record ID | R2-streak:provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
|---|---|
| Detection rule | R2-streak |
| Indicator | provincial_balance_pct_gdp_a__quebec |
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