Claim in the Record
OBSERVEDAdded to the Record 2026-07-13Public in the Record
Wage growth: level shift
The claim
Average hourly wage, % y/y (unadjusted): level shift detected around Nov 2024
A two-segment mean-shift scan over the last 40 months places the largest level shift in average hourly wage, % y/y (unadjusted) around Nov 2024: mean 4.99 before vs 3.57 after (shift = 3.6× pooled variability). The detector locates the shift; it does not attribute a cause.
Method
Deterministic two-segment mean-shift scan; break where |Δmean|/pooled sd ≥ 1.5 with ≥8 periods per segment.
Key sources and licences
- Employee wages by industry, monthly, unadjusted — Statistics Canada Licence text read in full
| Added to the Record | 2026-07-13 |
|---|---|
| How it is used | Public in the Record |
| Where it appears | Composed into the Entry-Level Work evidence inside the Canadian Capacity Monitor's workforce-capacity section — its approved destination named in the decision record. |
| What would change it | LFS wage-series revisions removing the shift, or wage growth returning to its prior band. |
| Corrections | None on record for this claim — policy → |
Technical details
| Record ID | R17-break:wage_yoy |
|---|---|
| Detection rule | R17-break |
| Indicator | wage_yoy |
Every figure this Receipt covers can be reproduced from the named public sources under Countability's published method. If a correction is ever needed, it produces a new dated version rather than editing this one.