Claim in the Record
OBSERVEDAdded to the Record 2026-09-06In the Record, not featured

Employment, age 15+ (SA): level shift

This claim has been checked and added to the Record, and is not yet featured in a product. It appears here so the full Record stays inspectable.

The claim

Employment, age 15+ (SA): level shift detected around Sep 2024

A two-segment mean-shift scan over the last 40 months places the largest level shift in employment, age 15+ (sa) around Sep 2024: mean 20,545,606 before vs 21,022,462 after (shift = 3.7× pooled variability). The detector locates the shift; it does not attribute a cause.

Method

Deterministic two-segment mean-shift scan; break where |Δmean|/pooled sd ≥ 1.5 with ≥8 periods per segment.

Key sources and licences

Added to the Record2026-09-06
How it is usedIn the Record, not featured
Where it appearsThe original employment level-shift reading entered the Record on 2026-08-11. Its maintained replacement entered on 2026-09-06 after the new evidence moved the detected breakpoint; the earlier reading remains preserved. This claim is inspectable here but is not separately foregrounded in another public product.
What would change itAn LFS revision that removes the detected shift, or a reversal returning the level to its prior band across subsequent months.
CorrectionsNone on record for this claim — policy →
Technical details
Record IDR17-break:employment_level
Detection ruleR17-break
Indicatoremployment_level

Every figure this Receipt covers can be reproduced from the named public sources under Countability's published method. If a correction is ever needed, it produces a new dated version rather than editing this one.